Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 3

Updated May. 3, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

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The San Diego Padres and Jurickson Profar will take the field against the Arizona Diamondbacks and Christian Walker on Friday at 9:40 PM ET, in the first of a three-game series at Chase Field. The Padres have been listed as -114 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Diamondbacks (-105). San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +140 odds). A 9-run over/under is listed for this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 3, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Diamondbacks 47%

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Padres have won 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 games they've played as favorites this season.
• San Diego has entered 19 games this season favored by -114 or more and is 10-9 in those contests.
• The Padres have a 53.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have come away with five wins in the 16 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Arizona has been victorious four times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

SD 7 · AZ 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-118

o9

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

+1.5

-104

u9

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and finished 4-5 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Padres are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Profar leads the Padres with a .342 batting average.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Profar ranks 64th in home runs and 19th in RBI.
• Profar brings a hitting streak of eight games into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .432 with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth has collected 24 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Cronenworth is 39th in home runs and ninth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Cronenworth carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .282 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and 10 RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has a team-high six home runs.
• Ha-Seong Kim has four doubles, two triples, four home runs and 20 walks while hitting .218.
• Kim has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .125 with three walks.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 2-7-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Diamondbacks are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Ketel Marte paces the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .307.
• In all of MLB, Marte ranks 39th in homers and 71st in RBI.
• Marte carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .238 with three doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with seven home runs and 22 RBI.
• Walker is 11th overall in homers and 14th in RBI this year.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. paces the Diamondbacks with 22 runs batted in.
• Blaze Alexander has five doubles, three home runs and 10 walks while hitting .313.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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