Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5

Updated May. 5, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Ryne Nelson starts for the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday against Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET at Chase Field. Oddsmakers list the Diamondbacks as -110 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Padres -110 moneyline odds to win. San Diego is favored on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres' 13-1 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday, May 4th.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
PUSH -110 -110 8.5 -112 -108 -1.5 -178 +147

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Padres 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 50%, Padres 50%

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 16 times and won eight, or 50%, of those games.
  • Arizona has entered 17 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 9-8 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
  • The Padres have come away with six wins in the 14 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, San Diego has won six of 14 games when listed as at least -110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 52.4% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
SD 4 · AZ 11
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
San Diego Padres
SD
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only two times over the last 10 games, and lost both matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Diamondbacks have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.0
HR 7
ERA 5.42
K/9 7.9

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Ketel Marte's .308 average leads the Diamondbacks this year. His resume also includes five homers and driven in 15 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Marte's home run total places him 44th, and his RBI tally ranks him 82nd.
  • Marte brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .250 with five doubles, three walks and an RBI.
  • Christian Walker's seven home runs and 22 RBI both pace his team.
  • Walker is 16th in home runs and 17th in RBI on the year.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. paces the Diamondbacks with 22 runs batted in.
  • Blaze Alexander has five doubles, three home runs and 10 walks while hitting .286.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+140)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+145)
Eugenio Suárez 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)
Ketel Marte 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Padres have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Padres have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 13
ERA 4.75
K/9 8.6

Padres Player Insights

  • Profar leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .347.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Profar is 44th in homers and 14th in RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth has driven in the most runs for the Padres with 25 runs batted in.
  • Cronenworth is 29th in homers and eighth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has seven home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has four doubles, two triples, five home runs and 20 walks while hitting .211.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+160)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Manny Machado 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+120)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+135)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+180)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres' 13-1 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday, May 4th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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