Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5

Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5

Updated May. 5, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

Kyle Tucker and the Houston Astros will try to get to Bryce Miller when he starts for the Seattle Mariners on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -135, while the underdog Mariners have +114 odds to upset. Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +158 odds). The over/under for the matchup is set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mariners vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Seattle Mariners' 5-0 win over the Houston Astros on Saturday, May 4th.

Astros vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, May 5, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -135 +114 8 -115 -106 -1.5 +158 -189

Astros vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 7, Astros 6
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 50%, Mariners 50%

Astros vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Astros have won 10, or 35.7%, of the 28 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Houston has a record of 8-8, a 50% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • The Mariners have been victorious in seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Seattle has won two of six games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
SEA 5 · HOU 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Seattle Mariners
SEA
Houston Astros
HOU

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
  • The Astros' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 13
ERA 3.94
K/9 10.1

Astros Player Insights

  • Tucker is the Astros best power hitter, launching eight long balls this season in addition to accumulating 21 RBI, both team highs.
  • In all of the majors, Tucker ranks fifth in homers and 23rd in RBI.
  • Jose Altuve's .338 batting average paces his team.
  • Altuve ranks 16th in homers in MLB, and 129th in RBI.
  • Yordan Alvarez is batting .256 with four doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks.
  • Alvarez will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .150 with a double and two walks.
  • Jeremy Pena has five doubles, a triple, three home runs and six walks while batting .325.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+205) 0.5 (+110)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+210)
Jeremy Pena 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+200)
Yainer Diaz 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Mariners had a record of 4-3.
  • The Mariners and their opponents have failed to hit the over in their last 10 contests with a total.
  • The Mariners are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 13
ERA 2.05
K/9 9.5

Mariners Player Insights

  • Josh Rojas is hitting .338 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .420.
  • Rojas ranks 102nd in homers and 258th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Caleb Raleigh's seven home runs lead his team.
  • Raleigh ranks 16th in homers and 82nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Mitch Haniger has racked up a team-high 18 runs batted in.
  • Jorge Polanco is batting .193 with a double, five home runs and 20 walks.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Julio Rodríguez 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+165)
Luke Raley 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+240)
Josh Rojas 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+245)
Ty France 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+225)
Mitch Haniger 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+190)

Mariners vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Seattle Mariners' 5-0 win over the Houston Astros on Saturday, May 4th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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