Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Updated May. 4, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros will play Mitch Haniger and the Seattle Mariners on Saturday at Minute Maid Park, at 7:15 PM ET. The Mariners have been listed as +123 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Astros (-146). Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the matchup (with -102 odds on the over and -119 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mariners vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros game on Friday, May 3.

Astros vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 7:15 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -146 +123 7.5 -102 -119 -1.5 +149 -179

Astros vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Mariners 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 51%, Mariners 49%

Astros vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 10 out of the 27 games, or 37%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Houston has won six of its 11 games, or 54.5%, when favored by at least -146 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 59.3%.
  • The Mariners have come away with six wins in the 14 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Seattle has a mark of 1-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
FINAL
SEA 5 · HOU 0
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Seattle Mariners
SEA
Houston Astros
HOU

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros played as the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Astros have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 13
ERA 4.09
K/9 10.5

Astros Player Insights

  • Kyle Tucker is the Astros best power option, crushing eight long balls this season in addition to collecting 21 RBI, both team highs.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Tucker's home run total ranks him fifth, and his RBI tally puts him 19th.
  • Altuve's .348 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Altuve ranks 13th in home runs and 124th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Altuve carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .409 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
  • Yordan Alvarez has four doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks while hitting .246.
  • Jeremy Pena is batting .325 with five doubles, a triple, three home runs and six walks.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+270) 0.5 (+135)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+230)
Jeremy Pena 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+210)
Yainer Diaz 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)
Kyle Tucker 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mariners have a record of 3-3.
  • The Mariners and their opponents have hit the under or pushed in each of their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mariners are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3
HR 13
ERA 2.05
K/9 9.7

Mariners Player Insights

  • Josh Rojas is batting .338 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .420.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Rojas' home run total ranks 100th and his RBI tally ranks 254th.
  • Haniger has driven in the most runs for the Mariners with 18 runs batted in.
  • Haniger is 68th overall in homers and 40th in RBI this year.
  • Jorge Polanco is batting .183 with five home runs and 20 walks.
  • Caleb Raleigh has racked up a team-high six home runs.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Julio Rodríguez 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Ty France 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+215)
Mitch Haniger 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+220)
Dylan Moore 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+220)

Mariners vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros game on Friday, May 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

ADVERTISEMENT

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

share